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Positive temperature anomaly

Community and ForumInsects biology and faunisticsPositive temperature anomaly

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10.02.2020 10:12, Hierophis

Well, I hope that today this terrible winter will finally end, three whole days of winter is terrible! )

10.02.2020 13:45, ИНО

Alex, I don't understand why the Kelvins and the moon? Who will fly to the moon to stick a thermometer? And to what point exactly? Still, in the shade there is not the same temperature over the entire surface and changes over time, I think. I would like to figure out how to properly integrate data from Earth stations, but you suggest such complications. For the Donetsk region, I gave the data: from 1936 to 2006, it was getting colder slowly. But that was before a series of abnormally warm years at the turn of the decade. Therefore, linear extrapolation is no good in this case.

10.02.2020 14:58, alex017

Kelvins and the Moon, to take a certain point, so that there is a temperature difference * delta* T, in order to further calculate the heat flux ( Q=cm(T2-T1), where T1 is the temperature on the Moon without the influence of the sun and atmosphere, and T2 is the temperature at the point of interest on earth).
By this value, it is probably possible to calculate the total temperature of getting warmer or colder.
The moon is just an example of a close cosmic body without the influence of atmospheres

10.02.2020 16:39, ИНО

To calculate whether it is warmer or colder at a particular point on the Earth, just stick a multi-year thermometer in there. Why the moon? Or you should definitely know if the Hungry Urals(TM) is getting colder relative to the Moon confused.gif

10.02.2020 17:49, ИНО

I looked at the forecast for the next few days-horror-horror. There is every chance to break the snow cover record and finally break the apricots weep.gif

11.02.2020 12:36, Tivanik

Finland's biggest ski marathon cancelled for first time due to lack of snow
https://tass.ru/sport/7730395

11.02.2020 16:15, ИНО

It was necessary to transfer lol.gif

11.02.2020 18:46, alex017

The thermometer is uninformative. The summer was cold, how cold was it? The winter was warm. How much? It doesn't feel right. You can answer the question: is the heat lost in summer compensated for in winter? Is it so? A lot of questions, a thermometer is no doubt very necessary, but we need to find a clear and simple method for assessing the climate: is it getting warmer or colder.

11.02.2020 20:37, Hierophis

Alex, all this is nonsense, but when, let's just say, your edges really start to plow the cryptoheiluses of discolor, tracking down Apulian tarantulas, then we can say for sure - it's warmer! jump.gif
That is, you need to look at the settlement of heat-loving species.
Here in my neighborhood, the climate is definitely getting warmer, it became clear many years ago when argyops lobata suddenly appeared almost everywhere, and about 15 years ago they could only be found on the coast of the sea.
There is warming, and it is not even so important from what it is, how important it is for how long umnik.gif

Meanwhile, we have all the snow in the morning, all the winter, rain, grass and +6 jump.gif jump.gif jump.gif
And there are very reasonable hopes that this current local warming will gain and gain strength, and will last for a very long time, at least until next January. jump.gif

This post was edited by Hierophis - 11.02.2020 20: 40

11.02.2020 22:10, ИНО

They feed the young men's hopes. And it is already clear to mature minds that "winter will not happen" will not happen again, and so every time weep.gifwe have today, too,+, however, only 1. But without precipitation. Although forecasters threatened to fall asleep again. If tomorrow does not fall out, then you can breathe a sigh of relief. I got out a little bit from the city blocks. true, then I had to shake the snow out of my boots for a long time. Well, what to do - stick insects want to eat. I saw an active spider and a passive polist in the snow, but I didn't take the camera. Interestingly, after the Christmas snowfall, no animals ran through the snow. This time, very quickly and unexpectedly, the cold weather with snowfall hit the heads of the poor arthropods, who were warmed up by the fake spring, who were everywhere. he froze there. And now, as the weather warms up a little, the beetles are urgently moving to shelters.

In general, snow is a force. Under the snow cover, the soil moisture regime is much more favorable than without it. Therefore, the flora in our region is generally much more mesophilic than in the dry steppe. And, it is likely that the soil is therefore better here. In any case, it is suspicious that good chernozems just south of the line of stable snow cover abruptly come kabzdets. I was also pleased that everything was fine with apricots outside the city blocks, apparently, the snow was blown away by the wind there. So the main thing is that again moniliya with aphids is not beaten, and then there will be a normal harvest. Only now you will have to follow it not 20 m from the entrance, as before, but a little further smile.gifaway

12.02.2020 12:21, NIKITA TIMOSHEV

We have -1 now, and by the weekend it will get a little colder,but then there will be a positive temperature

12.02.2020 16:39, ИНО

It's blowing again! But, the truth is thin, and in the morning it's generally wet, but with a breeze. So the snow layer is more steamed than overgrown. And it seems that this is the final chord of the current snow melody. It is being replaced by a mournful, long-playing melody of snowmelt, which, under the current forecast conditions, will probably last until mid-March.

The message was edited INO-12.02.2020 16: 40

12.02.2020 23:19, Hierophis

In two days it will be 30 degrees jump.gif

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13.02.2020 11:00, NIKITA TIMOSHEV

Yesterday we also had a snowstorm.
And the photo I took during yesterday's terrible snowstorm.
We now have +1

This post was edited by NIKITA TIMOSHEV - 13.02.2020 11: 01

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13.02.2020 12:28, ИНО

Is it a terrible snowstorm? Don't stop me!

14.02.2020 4:52, alex017

When a blizzard is not terrible, then the horizon is not visible, when it is strong, then the house is not visible nearby, and the photo can be called: snowflakes sometimes fly by.
Keeps between 0 and -10, snow falls

14.02.2020 12:05, ИНО

Tait. Slabs of balcony fences fall off and fall with a terrible roar, but not yet with us.

14.02.2020 22:25, ИНО

Run, jump, fly! But I won't show it here, as there is no temperature anomaly, +4 only at noon. See the topic with the correct name - "Winter insects".

15.02.2020 0:42, Hierophis

15.02.2020 3:02, ИНО

Well, that's the norm of the average monthly temperature, and I indicated a single daily maximum. In general ,the "temperature norm" in one digit is some kind of tin mossy concept. It is clear that every new month taken into account will move this figure back and forth. What is its sacred meaning? hz. It would be better if the interval assessment was introduced instead of it. Then it would really be possible to watch: the average monthly temperature went beyond its limits-so, indeed, an anomaly.

15.02.2020 12:04, NIKITA TIMOSHEV

We now have +3, and the sun +11 eek.gif

15.02.2020 16:04, ИНО

Pan Stepovoi had already justly remarked that the Sun was somewhat larger. +5000, or something...

16.02.2020 19:35, Hierophis

Continues jump.gif jump.gif jump.gif
Those adonis and golsemyanniki that began to bloom before ZHPZ, only slightly the tips of the leaves froze, and now they feel great jump.gif
But of course the permafrost was terrible, still on the northern slopes of the frozen ground, and the frost does not melt until the evening, the animals became much smaller, but thousands and thousands of crocuses showed their noses, bees are already collecting pollen, Spring always wins jump.gif

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16.02.2020 21:01, ИНО

Nothing like that, for normal people, spring only wins in the spring! Here we have gone down, +2 today in total. The snow will last for a long time. But at least it was dry under the walls. The polists who didn't die got back in.

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The soldiers stopped eating and mating.

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Jaundice got a natural cover.

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Although, not the fact that this is the same one. The last time I saw it, it flew several meters away from the wall. I found this wing right under the wall. Maybe she's back, though.

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Well, and a bird that I did not see in Pan's photos at all, not to mention with a seed in its beak. Although it is found in winter more often than pyzhikov, which, however, Pan also does not have in the photos for some reason.

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16.02.2020 21:29, Wave Storm

Today, by the way, on February 16, exactly 4 years ago there was a powerful warming to +16 and moths flew (at least in Kherson). And that year there were a lot of thistles in early March.

17.02.2020 0:37, AVA

...
Well, and a bird that I did not see in Pan's photos at all, not to mention with a seed in its beak. Although it is found in winter more often than pyzhikov, which, however, Pan also does not have in the photos for some reason.

Bird, it's a finch (Fringilla montifringilla)

17.02.2020 0:38, ИНО

Yes, I know.

17.02.2020 5:38, alex017

Frost and sun, -9
In the greenhouse snow less and less, again did not carry, too lazy.

This post was edited by alex017-13.03.2020 21: 00

17.02.2020 13:16, Decticus

+6, the snow has long since melted. There was heavy rain and wind in the morning.

17.02.2020 13:38, Hierophis

Alex, why such a gray landscape, and not for the first time like this, like a haze or smoke, is it a snow haze? )
Our forecasts are not yet encouraging, well, by local standards, of course, after Thursday and until it stops at night 0 -2 and in the afternoon no higher than +7. It remains to hope that in early March vzharit immediately +20, lizards, runners, copperheads will get out jump.gif

17.02.2020 13:58, ИНО

These are the consequences of pulling out a powerful backlight.

17.02.2020 18:17, Hierophis

The flyers have already flown out!!!! jump.gif jump.gif jump.gif
And already THOSE spring T-shirts have crawled out, in general, fly, crawl, eat jump.gif

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18.02.2020 5:37, alex017

I tried to take a picture of poimerno in the same place as the last photo, so that the sun could be seen higher above the horizon.
The sky is covered with some kind of haze, the sun is visible, but not completely.
Well, the illumination is certainly powerful.
Here's another photo.
The snow depth is probably plus 20 cm, because my pallets are lying on the track
, positive temperatures are expected until Sunday. All the snow in the greenhouse will go away, you can prepare for planting radishes and parsley

This post was edited by alex017 - 18.02.2020 05: 41

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18.02.2020 10:16, Tivanik

On February 17, 2020, the air temperature at OGMS Saint Petersburg reached a record 7.4 degrees Celsius, covering the maximum of the day, which was +5.2 degrees and was recorded in 1925.
http://www.meteo.nw.ru/news/news_paged.php...=1&news_id=8198

18.02.2020 14:10, ИНО

And we have only 6 and overcast. All the water bodies are frozen, the ducks are gone, but there are just a lot of" penguins " on one pond, they have competitions or something...

Alex, your processing of all your winter photos is kind of wild, like an unsharp mask with a huge radius or something like that. Is it from the camera like that, or are you doing chemical work during post-processing?

19.02.2020 14:50, NIKITA TIMOSHEV

We have now +11, and in the sun +20 eek.gif eek.gif eek.gif eek.gif eek.gif

19.02.2020 20:47, Hierophis

The Spring Triad is complete jump.gif
+15, Spring is in full swing jump.gif

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20.02.2020 8:58, alex017

 
Alex, your processing of all your winter photos is kind of wild, like an unsharp mask with a huge radius or something like that. Is it from the camera like that, or are you doing chemical work during post-processing?


All photos are taken immediately after the camera, only I crop the size when opening it automatically and re-save it.
And what do you want from the camera on your phone for 8tyr? I don't even find fault with her. I can't have a normal quality device, because I'll beat it.

On ulka +2 second day, rain, snow thawing

20.02.2020 13:39, ИНО

It's not about the camera or its price, but about software "ulichivayzing". In other words, they didn't put something in your phone, but put something extra in it. "8tyr" - not a weak price in fact, they could have organized a sane ZHOPEG, as in soap dishes for a much lower price.

20.02.2020 15:23, alex017

In soap dishes, what is the thickness of the device? Probably 20 mm, and the thickness of the phone is 8 mm, hence the complexity of the camera. Normal (not good!) cameras in the devices are approximately $ 1k each. I can't afford to wear this at work, because I've already dropped this device many times, which is unpleasant. And drop it for $ 100?! The impact will be enough, even if the device miraculously survives. At the same time, the peculiarity of the screens of those smarts is that a microcrack on the screen of the skryu completely disables the sensor. The replacement cost is half the price. The screen on such smart cards goes beyond the edges, a deep cover is not enough to put on. From here, I apologize, but the photos will be poor. Mb when I change this job to something more decent, then the photo will improve

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