Positive temperature anomaly

A stab to the heart...
Oh, spring is spring, because you are already strong, and you suffer an old hag

Well, a melody suitable for the rhythms of modernity
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jhiT9mLyR2o&feature=related

Pictures:

Rtavn1382.png — (117.17к)

You can see the warming is very late, and the greenery too, now it's snowing in Kiev in general...

At us too snow goes, in the morning in Nikolaev was -2, at us somewhere +0,5, and in general today such blizzard is planned that horror.
But in general - it's terrible, what is it, these cold weather and climb and climb And it is not clear when it will end, from the weekend, April 3, April 5 - with each new run of models new results.

Prchem of the two flagships, the American model gives the worst option, and the English one-summer from the weekend, well, we will think that the English version will come true, although it usually does not come true

M-yes... And the topic was about an unusually warm November, and certainly not about the long-awaited, but not the coming spring... Moreover, not about the analysis, accuracy, and validity of weather forecasts...
However, the owner is a gentleman.

This post was edited by Dmitrich - 27.03.2012 19: 45

Dmitrich, boo boo boo

Everything flows, everything changes.. but at the same time, everything is cyclical
Maybe even when November is like this again, and the topic is already there, but for now-talk about the weather)))

As they say,

I love thunderstorms at the beginning of May,
when the spring, first thunder
will hit-and there is no barn,
at my grandfather's dacha under the window..
my grandfather built a new barn..
and then May comes again...

And so on ))))

Dmitrich, boo boo boo

As they say, to each his own, Roman. Who-boo, boo, boo, who-blah, blah, blah...

Dmitrich, we have-do not swear!

Dmitrich, we have-do not swear!

Well, you have it . Besides, who's swearing? Either you can't read Russian, or your monitor is cloudy, or.....

At the end of that(well, although who knows how) from Monday comes an incredible weather cover!!!
A strong collapse of the cold wave on western Europe, which will lead to the emergence of an ultra-contrast polar front, which will pass through Ukraine, among other things. It will take place near the "junction of opposites", which is visible in the image of the altitude temperature(850GPa).
At the front there should be the strongest thunderstorms, and in general weather events of incredible power. And in Europe there will be a dog's cold, and for a long time.

At the same time, it will fall on the ETR only in the first days, then there will be a very deep jamming of an overheated tropical mass, up to Murmansk, and again cool thunderstorms and storms associated with this. And warm. And Europe-figushki, a week naevrnoe will freeze, still look and a snowball will pour)))

In short, this year is just well in general. The earth did stumble upon the celestial axis

At us on Yu.In the Urals, this spring is probably one of the warmest for my 24 years among butterflies.
In mid-May, the June views took off.

I don't understand where all the tracks are. that year, the sea of them was at this time, and now I find at most 2 things a week, but healthy red krokal dofiga, what's going on??

Collector, what other tracks ))))
The caterpillars are all overheated and shriveled up, but there are no katokals - they have wings, they fan themselves with their wings like a fan

Here we have now Tmax today +39 probably will be. In general, this season, ALL the summer months are still going with Aaaagromneysee positive anomaly, if only in winter, too, so!

Collector, what other tracks ))))

well at least acronicta

Everything, from next Monday summer ends in Ukraine
Since Tuesday, the mornings are already dull with temperatures of approx. +5C...

According to the new forecasts for the whole month, and from the 20th numbers in general to -8 in the morning in the north reg. skips =0
Although, this is the worst option, according to other model forecasts everything is normal, after October 13 and until the end of the month +12 +15 in the morning and up to +25 in the afternoon

The forecast for winter is also not encouraging yet. Eh, where does this vaunted GP go in winter?.

Apparently, winter will start in Western Europe in a week.
The cold will descend from the north in a vast front, while according to the SFS, the T-5C isotherm will reach the north of Greece, capturing both Spain and England. In central Europe, it will be possible in some places to -17C.
On the border of the cold front, there should be very heavy precipitation, all sorts of thunderstorms, storms and the like.

And in Ukraine, except for the western part, it should be abnormally hot, although it will also cover sooner or later

Nekislo so winter starts, and hits the most important positions )) And the Kyrgyz are silent ...

Apparently, winter will start in Western Europe in a week.
The cold will descend from the north in a vast front, while according to the SFS, the T-5C isotherm will reach the north of Greece, capturing both Spain and England. In central Europe, it will be possible in some places to -17C.
On the border of the cold front, there should be very heavy precipitation, all sorts of thunderstorms, storms and the like.

And in Ukraine, except for the western part, it should be abnormally hot, although it will also cover sooner or later

Nekislo so winter starts, and hits the most important positions )) And the Kyrgyz are silent ...

Yes. According to forecasts, this Sunday in Kiev in the afternoon will be about zero!
But in general, the positive option seems more plausible, or something in between, for sure, as always, it will turn out-neither abnormally hot nor cold, and no sensations of sensationalists.

Daytime approx. 0-this is nonsense, the problem is that three days in the morning to -15C maybe it's full of ales and kapets, all the insects that live out the autumn days will freeze out. Then if there is heat, then the landscape will be dull and boring, here I was recently, so what no dragonflies fly, straight-winged birds chirp, beetles climb, and after life-giving -10C all this will disappear...

Daytime approx. 0-this is nonsense, the problem is that three days in the morning to -15C maybe it's full of ales and kapets, all the insects that live out the autumn days will freeze out. Then if there is heat, then the landscape will be dull and boring, here I was recently, so what no dragonflies fly, straight-winged birds chirp, beetles climb, and after life-giving -10C all this will disappear...

Sad of course, but there will be snow and an unusual aura of comfort! And I also have a cricket. It will be interesting to see his behavior, because the day before the cold snap, he dug a hole! I think he can smell the weather very well!

Well, a very cozy perspective-snow in October)) No, it's better as nibut bez him ))

And we need to protect the crickets, we have completely frozen out the field crickets! I still haven't seen one in a season!!!

Well, a very cozy perspective-snow in October)) No, it's better as nibut bez him ))

And we need to protect the crickets, we have completely frozen out the field crickets! I still haven't seen one in a season!!!

I also didn't look for crickets in the spring, maybe I wasn't interested, but there didn't seem to be the same abundance that there was last year. Well, yes, snow is fun, the main thing is that it would be clean and that it would be molded, and without droppings of any urban animals. When not for long, it is very happy, but too long is boring. But it seems much better than the bare and dirty earth .

Today, the State Fiscal Service issued new options for the impending cold snap =0

Now, according to new calculations, frosts do not reach the south of Ukraine, and only slightly touch the north-east, everything will mainly be in the west, after the current slight cold snap from Friday, it is set to +20 in the South and South and up to +25 in the Crimea, and all this remains for the weekend, after a cold Monday - a further increase T due to the release of very hot air from the African expanses!
I prefer this calculation option! While we live!!!

The front in the south of Ukraine "turns" into a tropical one, with thunderstorms and heavy downpours, while at the latitude of Kiev it remains the same, with a probability of snow and frost, to the north and in the west. Europe is just like before - frosts.

One of the options for "thermodynamics"according to the latest update of the State Fiscal Service for the next few days, starting from Saturday, is the minimum temperature values, as the most important for livestock.
+3+10+14+12+5+5+7+12+10+8+5+9+6+4+4+4 center of eastern Ukraine
+9+17+15+11+5+7+10+17+15+5+5+12+10+7+7+9 Nikolaev
-1+11+6+7+0+5+8+12+7+3+0+8+5+3+7+3 Kiev
-0+10-1-0-5+0+10+12+0-3-0-0-7+3+4+5 the center Western Ukraine

+3-8-10-10-4-2+1-2-0-3-15-5-12-0-0-0 south of Germany
-2-1-0-2-0-1-0+5+3-0-0+3+1-2-2-3 center of the Moscow region

+3+10+14+12+5+5+7+12+10+8+5+9+6+4+4+4 center of eastern Ukraine

I also hope that it will come true
By the way, I just looked at the Cumin section for Kharkiv, it is north of the average geom. the center that I was looking at is also not expected to be particularly cold!
+2+6+12+12+5+3+5+9+7+7+6+7+5+2+2+2

By the way, I just looked at the Cumin section for Kharkiv, it is north of the average geom. the center that I was looking at is also not expected to be particularly cold!
+2+6+12+12+5+3+5+9+7+7+6+7+5+2+2+2

We have a clear night and the temperature is dropping rapidly. It seems that we are waiting for the first frost, and not only on the soil. I hope someone survives, because then it will warm up again...

According to weather stations in Kiev it was -3C, in Kharkiv -1, in Nikolaev +6, in Stuttgart 0C and snow, in Moscow -2 .

Kharkovbut, usually freezing to -1 does not greatly affect the diversity of animals, it affects of course, but not in such a devastating way, but -3 is already bad, usually after that all grasshoppers disappear 100%, but butterflies can still fly, including pigeons and yolks.
The most disastrous thing, according to my observations, is the frost on the background of the rain that passed the day before - then even approx. 0C, and almost everything dies out.

Kharkovbut, usually freezing to -1 does not greatly affect the diversity of animals, it affects of course, but not in such a devastating way, but -3 is already bad, usually after that all grasshoppers disappear 100%, but butterflies can still fly, including pigeons and yolks.
The most disastrous thing, according to my observations, is the frost on the background of the rain that passed the day before - then even approx. 0C, and almost everything dies out.

It was -2. It's sunny this afternoon, +7. I took a little walk for sport. Diptera flew, fillies, ants, dragonflies (Sympetrum sp.) and one Polygonia c-album were visible.

In America, a few years ago, I observed how the local yolks flew after a day of frost to -10 and a few centimeters of snow (which, apparently, saved them).

I think I saw yellow eggs in mid-December as the deadline, they are the most persistent in principle, since whiteflies, for example, are almost not found now.

and in Moscow already snow, snow and no mushrooms are not visible

Mytishchi is also not hot...

And we have in Perm +11.

In Pskov -4

Well, here are the current weather reports
And of course the climate has changed, only the praying mantises have given us what they say!

By the way, if you haven't already heard, this season the Arctic ice has not just melted at a record rate compared to previous years, which happens almost every year, but it has melted with the formation of an abnormally wide ice-free zone connecting the two straits, as a result of which the surface warm currents have increased, and the cold depot over the Arctic has a lot of degrees, which can not but rejoice and encourage)))

PS
I really wanted to hear the opinion of some Burgher, Frenchman, Italian or Pole on this matter, especially after tomorrow morning, but what can I do, as they say there.. salami, whatever.. ))))

In general, global warming should contribute to an abundance of precipitation, because the absolute humidity increases, that is, the moisture filling of the air, but still yes, while we have something more in the summer drought, but by winter the rains begin to pour, you can only dream about mushrooms so far

By the way, about the day that all sorts of speculators and lovers of other unearned incomes, including from science, should be so afraid of, but here it is, as the patron of this day, personally, as for me - it looks good, sooooo!!!

And we have in Perm +11.

In Pskov -4

In general, global warming should contribute to an abundance of precipitation, because the absolute humidity increases, that is, the moisture filling of the air, but still yes, while we have something more in the summer drought, but by winter the rains begin to pour, you can only dream about mushrooms so far
By the way, about the day that all sorts of speculators and lovers of other unearned incomes, including from science, should be so afraid of, but here it is, as the patron of this day, personally, as for me - it looks good, sooooo!!!

Friends! Well, let's be consistent. Either they had a discussion about splitting up the topic "Fishing Reports" in a good impulse not to clutter it, or they turned fishing reports into weather reports. Do you like to discuss the problem, is warming coming or not, is it global or not so hot? Flag in hand, drum on the neck! Just be kind enough to do it in the designated area, where all these weather maps and isotherms are more appropriate: http://molbiol.ru/forums/index.php?showtop...0&#entry1357989

It is sad... You should immediately write to the Higher Attestation Commission!

Five years ago, on the penultimate day of October, there were a lot of yellow spots on city flowers (in 2010, the same thing happened). At the same time, they were not shy, and they could be caught with their hands. As I understand it, in the south of Ukraine, the warmest day next week will be on Tuesday. Yolks at 11-12 gr. fly?

Yolks at 11-12 gr. fly?

If it's sunny, they can fly. In my opinion, it is not the air temperature as a whole that is critical, but the air temperature in individual areas that are protected from the wind and are well warmed up.